February 20, 2012

Media Ignoring Real Employment Data, And It's Frightening (Updated)

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by CarterFliptMe
Graph Updated November 1, 2012

The unemployment numbers being put out and dutifully reported on by the network 'news' have shown a very slight improvement recently. I would qualify very slight as being 0.2% from 8.5% to 8.3%, but those numbers are not accurate because they don't include the millions of people who have been out of work for extended periods of time.

The important statistic to look at, and the one that is being ignored by the Democrat lapdog media, is the Workforce Participation Rate.  This is the percentage of working age people who are currently working.  This number has plummeted during the Obama Administration, and continues a steep decline. It is frightening, and that this economy is being characterized as 'improving' by the so-called providers of information is even more-so.

Here is the chart generated on the data at the US Bureau of Labor Statistics.  Notice the decline beginning at the start of the Obama Administration.  We can see the slight uptick during the 'summer of recovery', and then the continuing decline afterward and up to today.

Updated November 1, 2012
October 6, 2012
US Bureau of Labor Statistics - Workforce Participation Rate

The economy and unemployment is improving? NBC, ABC, CBS, CNN, NY Times, Washington Post? Really?

Here is a piece from Investors Business Daily site, Investors.com:

Real Employment Data Are Bleak And Don't Look Good For An Obama Re-Election
Economy: The media machine that desperately wants Barack Obama re-elected has turned its focus on what it says are good unemployment numbers. The truth, though, is the job climate in America is miserable.
While the media and the administration portray the most recent jobs number — 8.3% unemployment — as good economic news, more sober minds understand what's really going on. The facts show a jobs slump that should not get an incumbent president re-elected.
Sure, the jobless rate is falling. But according to the Congressional Budget Office, we are going through the longest stretch of high unemployment since the Depression. The rate has been higher than 8% since February 2009, the month after Obama took office.
And, says the CBO, it is expected to stay above 8% through 2014.

February 15, 2012

Forget the Economy, Stupid. Let's Start A Fight Over Birth Control!

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by CarterFliptMe

The Democrats, aided by the network news and the usual liberal cable news outlets like CNN and MSNBC, know they can't let the upcoming election be focused on Obama's failed economy.  To their credit, they've managed to turn the topic of discussion on to social issues.  Everyone was astonished when Obama declared that religion-based insurers would be forced to cover abortions and birth control under ObamaCare.  Religious leaders were outraged.  They were equally surprised when he did a quick pseudo walk-back, and decreed that birth control would be provided free of charge.

Besides the Constitutional issues surrounding Obama's dictator impersonation, this was unsatisfactory for religious leaders on the grounds of freedom of religion, and they publicly stated as much.  The very next day, viola'! We have a new bully in town and the Democrats have a new straw man to fight.  Democrats (which includes ABC, CBS, NBC, NY Times, Washington Post, etc.) immediately began pushing the narrative that 'Republicans are against birth control!'.

I have been saying the Democrats needed a new slogan, something besides 'Republicans want to take your Social Security!', and we now have it.  To a liberal, being opposed to offering something for free is akin to being opposed to that thing's existence.

To the casual observer, it'll be "something about Republicans fighting against birth control".  Poor Mrs. Smith, the soccer mom, will dutifully vote for Obama even though she knows his economy sucks.  That's their plan, anyway.  I'm confident that it will not be enough to save Obama's failed Carter-era Keynesian nightmare.  Elections are almost always centered on the economy, (the exception is when we're in a major war) and with a poor economy, Obama is doomed.

Examples of propaganda by the Media Arm of the Democrat Party: (Feb 13th - 6am Feb 15 )
White House attacks bills to restrict birth control, expand conscience protections Washington Post
Do Republicans Really Want to Declare War on Birth Control?Slate Magazine (blog)
Birth Control Amendment 'Dangerous,' Obama Spokesman Says Huffington Post  
Support Is Found for Birth Control Coverage and Gay Unions New York Times 
Crazy Train Headed Off the Rails Over Birth Control Huffington Post 
Birth Control Debate: Why Catholic Bishops Have Lost Their Grip on US Politics ...  Time

January 24, 2012

The Reason the Stimulus Failed: A Microcosm

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by CarterFliptMe

This story from Milwaukee illustrates why government spending is always mismanaged, seldom helps the economy much, and is, for the most part, wasted.  Mark Belling of Talk Radio 1130 WISN in Milwaukee spoke on his show about this on January 19, 2012, and was brilliant in pointing out why this story is a perfect illustration of what goes on in government bureaucracy every single day across the country.  I feel the need to repeat his illustration, and I thank Mark Belling for, once again, nailing it on the head!  Here's the podcast of his discussion of this article, Parts 1 and 2.

The article is about the Milwaukee County Transit System's failure to move from its old system of accepting cash, cards, and paper transfers, to a new system which will use a magnetic card.  It sounds like a pretty simple task: Get new card readers, install them on the buses, educate the public, and make the transition over a period of time.  But three years after the stimulus funding for this program, the simple task is still not complete. Why, and what does this story have to do with the larger overall federal stimulus funding from 2008?


Why indeed.  Why do well-meant government programs get more-than-adequate funding,  but remain unfinished for years, sometimes never  to be completed?

In the public sector, there is no market pressure.  There is no pressure to get a job done in a timely manner, or at the most cost-effective price.  The money for the job is already allocated, with little regard for the details in how the money is to be spent.  There is very little accountability for those who fail in these two basic demands of the free market, since many of the administrators who oversee and implement government programs are appointed by elected officials.  Often these elected officials are never challenged in elections, since it's usually difficult to defeat an incumbent, especially in an area where only one political party is in power.  The opportunity for cronyism within bureaucracy is great, and we see it at all levels of government.

from the Milwaukee Journal Sentinel
Transit system's 'smart card' fare system two years away
By Steve Schultze of the Journal Sentinel Jan. 18, 2012
The new "smart card" fare collection system for Milwaukee County Transit System's more than 400 buses won't be ready for two more years, an unexpectedly long time that drew criticism Wednesday from county supervisors and the bus drivers union.
Added to the three years of planning so far, the new fare system would take about five years overall to implement.
That's too long, said Supervisor Michael Mayo Sr., who heads the County Board's Transportation, Transit and Public Works Committee. He said he wasn't sure of reasons for the lag time but wants to push for quicker implementation once a vendor is picked this spring to install the new high-tech fare gear.
A long planning period was needed to investigate smart card and cash farebox technologies and to follow federal guidelines, according to Jackie Janz, spokeswoman for the transit system. Officials hope a $7 million federal stimulus grant awarded to the county for the farebox project in April 2009 will fully cover the costs.
Nearly two years ago, transit system officials said they expected to award a contract for the new fare systems by July of 2010. But because of the complexity of the job, an outside consultant, IBI Group of Toronto, was hired to help MCTS with a study, to write bid specifications and to evaluate bids at a cost of $119,000, Janz said.
"We would like this (system) to be installed today," she said. "But this is a monumental change for us and it is going to hit us on every level and we want to make sure it's done correctly."
At least seven revisions to the initial specifications issued by MCTS for new cash fareboxes and smart cards also contributed to the long lead time in the system procurement, Janz said. All seven bidders were notified of the revisions and given extra time to respond, she said. That extended the bid submission period by at least three to four months, she said.
The new farebox system will be based on use of cards whose value is machine encoded. Passengers will simply wave smart cards with embedded electronic chips near an electronic reader upon boarding a bus.
The current bus fareboxes have been in place for 26 years, while the paper transfer system is even older.
Contrary to earlier plans, the venerable paper bus transfer may not be eliminated when the new smart card systems are in place, though they would be phased out over one or two additional years, transit system officials told supervisors at the committee.
Janz said while that was the transit system's recommendation, county officials could change that.
The recommended continuation of paper transfers drew rebukes from the drivers union, who said disputes over validity of transfers create stress and sometimes lead to physical attacks on drivers.
"How many assaults do we have to have before anything is done?" asked Rick Bassler, vice president of Local 998 of the Amalgamated Transit Union.
He called the 24-month time frame for installation of the new system ridiculous and warned it could be obsolete by then.
Union leaders said at least 5,000 of the 30,000 paper transfers issued daily were stolen or used fraudulently, creating huge losses for the transit system.
At a $2.25 fare per standard adult ride, that would add up to more than $11,000 a day in lost revenue.
Daniel Boehm, director of administration for the transit system, said there was no way to estimate losses because of transfer fraud.
Bassler also complained that drivers had not been consulted in the farebox procurement process and he asked for driver participation in an upcoming review of multiple bids for the new system.
Transit company officials made no commitment to that, but several county supervisors pledged to push for union representation on a bid evaluation panel.
The two-year projection for completing the project is an unacceptably long time frame to add technology that has already become standard on many large city bus systems elsewhere in the country, said Supervisor Jason Haas.
Lloyd Grant Jr., managing director for MCTS, said he'd try to prod the firms bidding on the contract for new fareboxes to get it done faster.
Though MCTS in 2010 said it planned to eliminate paper transfers with the shift to smart cards, a report from the firm to the county said it now no longer planned to have magnetic card-style transfers - at least initially.
Installing new fareboxes and a new transfer system at the same time would be too much change, too fast, according to MCTS.
"Paper transfers have been in use at MCTS for over 35 years," the report said. "A hurried approach to the elimination of paper transfers is not recommended."
Adding equipment that dispenses magnetic card transfers would add $800,000 in costs to equip county buses and up to $875,000 a year in operating costs.
Supervisor Nikiya Harris said the money would be better spent on a marketing campaign aimed at educating bus riders about the new smart card system.
Haas said the fare structure should be re-examined in conjunction with the new smart card technology with consideration given to abolishing transfers in favor of a two-tier fare system with a cheaper price for one-way fares and higher price for an all-day pass.

January 17, 2012

Bain, Romney Attacks - Anticapitalist Claptrap

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by CarterFliptMe

In a podcast from Friday, January 13, 2012, Mark Belling of News Talk 1130 WISN called BS on Newt Gingrich and others for anti-capitalist attacks on Mitt Romney and his work at Bain Capital.  Belling cites the brilliant article in The Wall Street Journal, How Private Equity Works by Jonathan Macey, in which Macey calls the general assertions that Bain Capital was 'looting' companies and engaging in 'vulture capitalism' as ".. anticapitalist claptrap."


Newt Gingrich's political action committee is sponsoring a film called "When Mitt Romney Came to Town" that accuses Mr. Romney and his former company, Bain Capital, of taking over companies, looting them, and then tossing their workers out on the street. Jon Huntsman's attacks on his rival include the description of private equity as a business that "breaks down businesses [and] destroys jobs, as opposed to creating jobs and opportunity, leveraging up, spinning off, [and] enriching shareholders."
This is anticapitalist claptrap. Private-equity firms make significant investments in companies, mainly U.S. companies. Most of their investments are in companies that underperform industry peers. Frequently these firms are on the brink of failure.
Because private-equity firms are, by definition, equity investors, they make money only if they improve the performance of their companies. Private equity is last in line to be paid in case of insolvency. Private-equity firms don't make a profit unless their companies can meet their obligations to workers and other creditors.
The companies in which private-equity investors are able to turn a profit generally grow, rather than shrink. This is because the preferred "exit strategy" by which private-equity firms profit is to take the private companies in which they invest and enable them to go public and sell shares that will help the company grow even stronger. As for turnaround success stories, Continental Airlines, Orbitz and Snapple have all benefitted at some time from private-equity investment.
Here's the podcast.

January 14, 2012

The Goat That Bit Jon Hunstman, Then Endorsed Him

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I'm not going to try to link the absurdity of the Jon Huntsman campaign with the absurdity of this admittedly hilarious snippet of the New Hampshire Primary.  I'm just going to recommend you watch this video and enjoy.


January 12, 2012

An Illustration of Big Government Assault on Freedom, Decency, and Common Sense

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by CarterFliptMe

This case, Sackett v EPA, is a story of somebody who bought land in a residential area, and simply wanted to build a home and farm the land.  Suddenly, the leviathan known as the Environmental Protection Agency (along with the Army Corps of Engineers) swooped in and stomped on him, declaring his newly acquired land as "wetlands".  This bomb not only put an indefinite halt on his simple plan, but levied astronomical fines of $75,000 every day.  The landowner can't even dispute whether the EPA is correct in it's finding, or whether the EPA has this authority under the Constitution, without these fines being administered daily.  The landowner is faced with two choices: 1.) Tear down any and all structures currently on his land, incurring thousands of dollars of cost, and loss of income. 2.) Stand his ground and incur fines of over $75,000 per day while he waits indefinitely for the EPA to make a final determination.

There is no freedom, decency, or common sense to be found in this situation, and it's not the only one like it in this country.  This big government bullying, done by the U.S. Federal Government in the name of environmentalism, happens all the time.  Perhaps now, finally, we and the Sacketts can get some relief from the U.S. Supreme Court.

Please read the article from the Washington Times